Estimating return periods for daily precipitation extreme events over the Brazilian Amazon

Santos, Eliane Barbosa; Lucio, Paulo Sérgio; Silva, Cláudio Moisés Santos e

Estimating return periods for daily precipitation extreme events over the Brazilian Amazon

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dc.contributor.author	Santos, Eliane Barbosa
dc.contributor.author	Lucio, Paulo Sérgio
dc.contributor.author	Silva, Cláudio Moisés Santos e
dc.date.accessioned	2020-04-23T14:20:06Z
dc.date.available	2020-04-23T14:20:06Z
dc.date.issued	2015-08-14
dc.description.resumo	This paper aims to model the occurrence of daily precipitation extreme events and to estimate the return period of these events through the extreme value theory (generalized extreme value distribution (GEV) and the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD)). The GEV and GPD were applied in precipitation series of homogeneous regions of the Brazilian Amazon. The GEV and GPD goodness of fit were evaluated by quantile–quantile (Q-Q) plot and by the application of the Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) test, which compares the cumulated empirical distributions with the theoretical ones. The Q-Q plot suggests that the probability distributions of the studied series are appropriated, and these results were confirmed by the KS test, which demonstrates that the tested distributions have a good fit in all sub-regions of Amazon, thus adequate to study the daily precipitation extreme event. For all return levels studied, more intense precipitation extremes is expected to occur within the South sub-regions and the coastal area of the Brazilian Amazon. The results possibly will have some practical application in local extreme weather forecast.	pt_BR
dc.identifier.citation	SANTOS, Eliane Barbosa; LUCIO, Paulo Sérgio; SILVA, Cláudio Moisés Santos e. Estimating return periods for daily precipitation extreme events over the Brazilian Amazon. Theoretical And Applied Climatology, [s.l.], v. 126, n. 3-4, p. 585-595, 14 ago. 2015. ISSN 1434-4483 versão online. DOI https://www.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-015-1605-9. Disponível em: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-015-1605-9. Acesso em: 23 abr. 2020.	pt_BR
dc.identifier.doi	10.1007/s00704-015-1605-9
dc.identifier.issn	0177-798X (print), 1434-4483 (onine)
dc.identifier.uri	https://repositorio.ufrn.br/jspui/handle/123456789/28832
dc.language	en	pt_BR
dc.publisher	Springer	pt_BR
dc.subject	Return period	pt_BR
dc.subject	Daily precipitation	pt_BR
dc.subject	Generalize extreme value	pt_BR
dc.subject	Return level	pt_BR
dc.subject	Generalize pareto distribution	pt_BR
dc.title	Estimating return periods for daily precipitation extreme events over the Brazilian Amazon	pt_BR
dc.type	article	pt_BR