Tendências e projeções da mortalidade por câncer de ovário no Brasil até 2030

Abstract

Objectives: To analyze the temporal trend of ovarian cancer mortality in Brazil in the period 2001-2015 and the mortality projections for the period 2016-2030. Methods: A time series ecological study based on secondary data from the Mortality Information System (SIM) of the Department of Informatics of the Unified Health System. We analyzed the deaths resulting from the neoplasia, which occurred in Brazil from 2001 to 2015, according to the age group and the Brazilian regions. The temporal trend of cancer mortality in Brazil and Brazilian regions was analyzed, and mortality projections up to the year 2030 per five-year period were calculated. Results: It was observed that the mortality rates higher than the Brazilian average were registered, in 2015, for the Southeast, Midwest and South Regions, highlighting the mortality rate in the North Region that was below the national average. . Regarding the projection for Brazil in the period 2026-2030, it is estimated that 26,028 deaths from cancer occur, mortality rates will show reductions in the Northeast, South and Southeast Regions and increase in the North and Midwest by 2030. Conclusion: As Ovarian cancer mortality rates in Brazil by the year 2030 can be explained based on reduced risk for the disease, leading to a tendency to reduce mortality, although it remains unevenly distributed in the country.